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Schnitzer Steel: Riding High on the Recycled Metal Demand Wave

Schnitzer Steel: Riding High on the Recycled Metal Demand Wave

13 Jun Schnitzer Steel: Riding High on the Recycled Metal Demand Wave

Schnitzer Steel Industries, Inc. (NASDAQ: SCHN) operates at the intersection of metals recovery, reuse, recycling, and manufacturing. As a vertically integrated organization, Schnitzer offers a range of products and services to meet the global demand for recycled ferrous and nonferrous metal.

Schnitzer Steel Industries, Inc. (NASDAQ: SCHN)

Market Cap: $879.11M; Current Share Price: $32.06Schnitzer Steel: Riding High on the Recycled Metal Demand Wave
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The Company
Schnitzer Steel Industries, Inc. is one of North America’s largest ferrous and nonferrous metal recyclers, including end-of-life vehicles, and a manufacturer of finished steel products. It has operating facilities located in 25 states, Puerto Rico, and Western Canada. It has seven deep water export facilities on both the East and West Coasts and in Hawaii and Puerto Rico. The Company’s integrated operating platform also includes 51 stores selling serviceable used auto parts from salvaged vehicles and receiving over 4.1 million annual visits.

Schnitzer Steel: Riding High on the Recycled Metal Demand Wave

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We will discuss certain trends which make Schnitzer an interesting watch.

  1. Promising market conditions

Worldwide demand for recycled ferrous and nonferrous metal is driven primarily by production levels for finished steel and products using nonferrous metal. Recycled ferrous metal is the primary feedstock for steel mill production using electric arc furnace (EAF) technology and one of the raw materials utilized for steel manufacturing using blast furnace technology. Steel mills worldwide, including those in the North American domestic market, are the primary end markets for Schnitzer’s recycled ferrous metal products.

Over the last several years, Global EAF Steel Production has shown a rising trend.

Schnitzer Steel: Riding High on the Recycled Metal Demand Wave

Image Source: Company

Moreover, long-term demand for recycled metals will continue to grow – driven by global economic growth and an increased focus on environmental policies promoting natural resource conservation, lower greenhouse gas emissions, and lower energy usage. Specifically, energy transition efforts to electric vehicles and solar and wind power generation sources are expected to support global copper demand growth.

Schnitzer Steel: Riding High on the Recycled Metal Demand Wave

Image Source: Company

Compared to iron ore mined from natural resources, the significant environmental benefits and production efficiencies associated with steelmaking that maximizes the use of recycled metal as a raw material, will also positively contribute to long-term worldwide demand for recycled ferrous metal.

Further, decarbonization efforts by companies, industries, and governments around the world, including investments in low-carbon technologies that are more metal intensive and minimize carbon dioxide emissions from the use of fossil fuels, among other factors, support long-term global demand for recycled nonferrous metal such as aluminum and copper.

Schnitzer Steel: Riding High on the Recycled Metal Demand Wave

Image Source: Company

Thus, over the long term, demand for recycled metals will grow on the back of factors such as

  • Global EAF production growth
  • Increased metal intensity, including copper and aluminum, of lower carbon-based technologies (e.g., EVs, renewable energy, development of “smart grids”)
  • Greater customer and supplier focus on sustainability, recycling, and landfill diversion.
  • S. production onshoring
  • An anticipated structural shortage of critical materials (e.g., copper, nickel, and lithium)
  • Domestic investments related to Infrastructure Investment and Jobs Act, the Inflation Reduction Act, and Buy Clean provisions, and Schnitzer seems well poised to benefit from this phenomenon.
    1. Impactful Business Strategy

    To benefit from the expected increase in global demand, Schnitzer is pursuing certain effective strategies. In this regard, the Company utilizes a four-pronged approach:

  • Deploy advanced metal recovery technology – this would enable the Company to increase recovery of higher value metals, reduce diversion to landfills and increase product optionality.
  • Increase ferrous and nonferrous volumes – to create operating leverage and enable higher recovery of nonferrous materials from shredding operations.
  • Expand recycling services and product offerings – so that the Company can support customers in meeting their recycling and sustainability goals and increase its client base.
  • Implement productivity initiatives to increase yields, reduce costs, and improve processing, procurement, and pricing efficiencies.
  • Schnitzer Steel: Riding High on the Recycled Metal Demand Wave

    Image Source: Company

    The total investment for the above initiatives is expected to be $130 million, including approximately $125 million spent to date. The completion of installation is targeted by the end of the summer of CY2023, and achievement of full run-rate benefits is targeted by the end of CY2023.

    The sustainability benefits from these initiatives would be higher metal recovery, increased material separation, greater waste diversion from landfills, reduction in air emissions, use of recycled water, and energy efficiency improvements. It would also lead to product enhancement and increased optionality in the form of more furnace-ready products, including brass, zinc, stainless steel, copper, and other metals.

    1. Impressive Financial Results

    For Q2 FY23, ferrous sales volumes increased sequentially by 48%, benefiting from a drawdown of inventories, while nonferrous sales volumes were up by 1% sequentially. Average net selling prices for ferrous and nonferrous up sequentially by 8% and 10%, respectively.

    The Company reported an Adjusted EBITDA of $32 million and an adjusted EBITDA per ferrous ton of $25. Net income stood at $4 million, and net income per ferrous ton was $3. Adjusted diluted earnings per share from continuing operations was $0.14.

    Schnitzer Steel: Riding High on the Recycled Metal Demand Wave

    Image Source: Company

    There was also a strong operating cash flow generation of $88 million.

    It is to be noted that the Board of Directors declared a quarterly cash dividend of $0.1875 per common share, payable May 8, 2023, to shareholders of record on April 24, 2023. Schnitzer has paid a dividend every quarter since going public in November 1993.

    Specifically for the ferrous market, the Company reported that global demand strengthened throughout 2Q23 – drivers of demand included strong rebar demand in Turkey and inventory restocking. The Company also reported a tighter scrap supply flow environment, driven by lower economic activity, winter seasonality, and inflationary pressure on collection costs.

    For FY22, the Company reported that results were the second-best year in the Company’s history, driven by a combination of high demand for finished steel and recycled metals, increased ferrous and nonferrous sales volumes, two acquisitions, and benefits from productivity initiatives.

    Schnitzer Steel: Riding High on the Recycled Metal Demand Wave

    Image Source: Company

    Schnitzer achieved the second-highest adjusted EBITDA in the Company’s history, driven by strong demand and progress on multi-year strategic initiatives, which included volume growth, the addition of 10 recycling facilities in the Southeast, productivity improvement, and working capital management.

    For FY22, the Company reported an Adjusted EBITDA of $313 million and diluted earnings per share from continuing operations of $5.72. Operating cash flow for the year was strong at $238 million. Total debt was $249 million at the end of FY22, and debt, net of cash, of $205 million.

    Schnitzer Steel: Riding High on the Recycled Metal Demand Wave

    Image Source: Company

    Going forward, Schnitzer expects a further improvement in results in the third quarter driven by an expansion of metal margins as the Company realizes the benefit of shipments contracted at higher prices and as supply flows improve seasonally.

    Schnitzer expects the structural demand for recycled metals to remain positive, supported by the transition to low-carbon technologies, the increased focus on decarbonization, and the expected funding related to the Infrastructure Investment and Jobs Act and the Inflation Reduction Act, including Buy Clean provisions. As a result, the Company’s performance should also continue to improve over the next few years, making it an interesting stock to track.

    Disclosure: I/we have no positions in any stocks mentioned, and no plans to initiate any positions within the next 72 hours.

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    Reference:

    https://www.schnitzersteel.com/documents/2023-q2-earnings-conf-call-presentation.pdf

    https://www.schnitzersteel.com/documents/2023-april-investor-presentation.pdf

    https://www.sec.gov/ix?doc=/Archives/edgar/data/912603/000095017022019904/schn-20220831.htm

    https://www.sec.gov/ix?doc=/Archives/edgar/data/912603/000095017023012168/schn-20230228.htm

    https://www.schnitzersteel.com/company/investors/news-release-details/22221

    https://www.schnitzersteel.com/company/investors/news-release-details/21886

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